Persistent cloud cover and heavy rainfall from the South China Sea monsoon trough are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling across Shenzhen, keeping overnight lows elevated near 26–28°C rather than allowing typical seasonal drops. High humidity above 85% combined with light southerly winds maintains warm, stable boundary-layer conditions, consistent with official forecasts showing minimum temperatures clustered in the mid-to-upper 20s°C. These dynamics explain trader consensus around the 27–29°C outcomes, as models show minimal variability in the 24-hour window ending August 24. No significant frontal passage or clear-sky period is expected to drive sharper cooling before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
27°C 34%
26°C 34%
25°C 3%
30°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
34%
27°C
34%
28°C
34%
29°C
58%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 34%
26°C 34%
25°C 3%
30°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$808 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$245 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$99 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$123 Vol.
1%
25°C
$68 Vol.
3%
26°C
$12 Vol.
34%
27°C
$0 Vol.
34%
28°C
$6 Vol.
34%
29°C
$2,443 Vol.
58%
30°C
$135 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$120 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and heavy rainfall from the South China Sea monsoon trough are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling across Shenzhen, keeping overnight lows elevated near 26–28°C rather than allowing typical seasonal drops. High humidity above 85% combined with light southerly winds maintains warm, stable boundary-layer conditions, consistent with official forecasts showing minimum temperatures clustered in the mid-to-upper 20s°C. These dynamics explain trader consensus around the 27–29°C outcomes, as models show minimal variability in the 24-hour window ending August 24. No significant frontal passage or clear-sky period is expected to drive sharper cooling before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$4,059End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and heavy rainfall from the South China Sea monsoon trough are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling across Shenzhen, keeping overnight lows elevated near 26–28°C rather than allowing typical seasonal drops. High humidity above 85% combined with light southerly winds maintains warm, stable boundary-layer conditions, consistent with official forecasts showing minimum temperatures clustered in the mid-to-upper 20s°C. These dynamics explain trader consensus around the 27–29°C outcomes, as models show minimal variability in the 24-hour window ending August 24. No significant frontal passage or clear-sky period is expected to drive sharper cooling before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,059End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and heavy rainfall from the South China Sea monsoon trough are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling across Shenzhen, keeping overnight lows elevated near 26–28°C rather than allowing typical seasonal drops. High humidity above 85% combined with light southerly winds maintains warm, stable boundary-layer conditions, consistent with official forecasts showing minimum temperatures clustered in the mid-to-upper 20s°C. These dynamics explain trader consensus around the 27–29°C outcomes, as models show minimal variability in the 24-hour window ending August 24. No significant frontal passage or clear-sky period is expected to drive sharper cooling before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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