Current forecast models from MetService NZ and international sources project a minimum temperature near 8–9°C in Wellington on August 24 under clear skies and light northerly winds overnight, favoring radiative cooling typical of late-winter high-pressure setups. This aligns with climatological norms of 8–11°C lows for the date and recent model consensus showing minimal cloud cover or stronger mixing that would otherwise limit overnight drops. Trader consensus at 94% for 8°C reflects this aggregated evidence from verified observational networks, though scenarios such as increased wind speeds, unexpected cloud development, or warmer air advection could realistically push the recorded minimum to 9°C or higher. Updated model runs and official observations will refine resolution criteria before market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wellington on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 24?
8°C 94%
7°C 28%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
5°C or below
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
28%
8°C
94%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
8°C 94%
7°C 28%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
5°C or below
$185 Vol.
1%
6°C
$74 Vol.
1%
7°C
$84 Vol.
28%
8°C
$64 Vol.
94%
9°C
$427 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$392 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$337 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$484 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$335 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$481 Vol.
<1%
15°C or higher
$150 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from MetService NZ and international sources project a minimum temperature near 8–9°C in Wellington on August 24 under clear skies and light northerly winds overnight, favoring radiative cooling typical of late-winter high-pressure setups. This aligns with climatological norms of 8–11°C lows for the date and recent model consensus showing minimal cloud cover or stronger mixing that would otherwise limit overnight drops. Trader consensus at 94% for 8°C reflects this aggregated evidence from verified observational networks, though scenarios such as increased wind speeds, unexpected cloud development, or warmer air advection could realistically push the recorded minimum to 9°C or higher. Updated model runs and official observations will refine resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$3,013End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from MetService NZ and international sources project a minimum temperature near 8–9°C in Wellington on August 24 under clear skies and light northerly winds overnight, favoring radiative cooling typical of late-winter high-pressure setups. This aligns with climatological norms of 8–11°C lows for the date and recent model consensus showing minimal cloud cover or stronger mixing that would otherwise limit overnight drops. Trader consensus at 94% for 8°C reflects this aggregated evidence from verified observational networks, though scenarios such as increased wind speeds, unexpected cloud development, or warmer air advection could realistically push the recorded minimum to 9°C or higher. Updated model runs and official observations will refine resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,013End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from MetService NZ and international sources project a minimum temperature near 8–9°C in Wellington on August 24 under clear skies and light northerly winds overnight, favoring radiative cooling typical of late-winter high-pressure setups. This aligns with climatological norms of 8–11°C lows for the date and recent model consensus showing minimal cloud cover or stronger mixing that would otherwise limit overnight drops. Trader consensus at 94% for 8°C reflects this aggregated evidence from verified observational networks, though scenarios such as increased wind speeds, unexpected cloud development, or warmer air advection could realistically push the recorded minimum to 9°C or higher. Updated model runs and official observations will refine resolution criteria before market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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