Official National Weather Service forecasts project an overnight low near 80–81°F for Houston on August 24 amid ongoing heat and southerly flow, with no frontal systems or significant moisture advection expected to drive meaningful nocturnal cooling. Persistent subtropical ridging and typical August humidity levels near 70–80% limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures well above the 77°F climatological average. Model consensus from recent runs shows little day-to-day variability through the period, though minor shifts in wind direction or boundary-layer moisture could alter the exact low by a degree or two. Upcoming NWS forecast updates and any new guidance on tropical moisture will provide the next key data points for resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Houston on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Houston on August 24?
69°F or below 84%
78-79°F 37%
80-81°F 37%
74-75°F 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
69°F or below
84%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
1%
69°F or below 84%
78-79°F 37%
80-81°F 37%
74-75°F 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
69°F or below
$5 Vol.
84%
70-71°F
$198 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$54 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
19%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
19%
78-79°F
$5 Vol.
24%
80-81°F
$5 Vol.
28%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
18%
84-85°F
$25 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$5 Vol.
1%
88°F or higher
$145 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts project an overnight low near 80–81°F for Houston on August 24 amid ongoing heat and southerly flow, with no frontal systems or significant moisture advection expected to drive meaningful nocturnal cooling. Persistent subtropical ridging and typical August humidity levels near 70–80% limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures well above the 77°F climatological average. Model consensus from recent runs shows little day-to-day variability through the period, though minor shifts in wind direction or boundary-layer moisture could alter the exact low by a degree or two. Upcoming NWS forecast updates and any new guidance on tropical moisture will provide the next key data points for resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$442End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts project an overnight low near 80–81°F for Houston on August 24 amid ongoing heat and southerly flow, with no frontal systems or significant moisture advection expected to drive meaningful nocturnal cooling. Persistent subtropical ridging and typical August humidity levels near 70–80% limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures well above the 77°F climatological average. Model consensus from recent runs shows little day-to-day variability through the period, though minor shifts in wind direction or boundary-layer moisture could alter the exact low by a degree or two. Upcoming NWS forecast updates and any new guidance on tropical moisture will provide the next key data points for resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$442End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts project an overnight low near 80–81°F for Houston on August 24 amid ongoing heat and southerly flow, with no frontal systems or significant moisture advection expected to drive meaningful nocturnal cooling. Persistent subtropical ridging and typical August humidity levels near 70–80% limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures well above the 77°F climatological average. Model consensus from recent runs shows little day-to-day variability through the period, though minor shifts in wind direction or boundary-layer moisture could alter the exact low by a degree or two. Upcoming NWS forecast updates and any new guidance on tropical moisture will provide the next key data points for resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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