Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather project an overnight low of 20–21°C in Istanbul on August 23, 2026, under clear skies, moderate northeasterly winds, and typical late-summer humidity levels. This aligns with August climatology, where average daily lows range 18–21°C and rarely drop below 17°C absent unusual cold advection. Recent observational data show no significant model divergence or approaching fronts that would push temperatures lower, supporting the dominant 21°C outcome at 64% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric conditions and resolution criteria around the daily minimum reading, with minimal odds on outliers reflecting low historical volatility for this date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 23?
20°C 2%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$2,357 Vol.
$2,357 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
-
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 2%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$2,357 Vol.
$2,357 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
16°C or below
$200 Vol.
1%
17°C
$338 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$133 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$37 Vol.
2%
21°C
$220 Vol.
-
22°C
$257 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$215 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$236 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$313 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$184 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather project an overnight low of 20–21°C in Istanbul on August 23, 2026, under clear skies, moderate northeasterly winds, and typical late-summer humidity levels. This aligns with August climatology, where average daily lows range 18–21°C and rarely drop below 17°C absent unusual cold advection. Recent observational data show no significant model divergence or approaching fronts that would push temperatures lower, supporting the dominant 21°C outcome at 64% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric conditions and resolution criteria around the daily minimum reading, with minimal odds on outliers reflecting low historical volatility for this date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$2,357End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather project an overnight low of 20–21°C in Istanbul on August 23, 2026, under clear skies, moderate northeasterly winds, and typical late-summer humidity levels. This aligns with August climatology, where average daily lows range 18–21°C and rarely drop below 17°C absent unusual cold advection. Recent observational data show no significant model divergence or approaching fronts that would push temperatures lower, supporting the dominant 21°C outcome at 64% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric conditions and resolution criteria around the daily minimum reading, with minimal odds on outliers reflecting low historical volatility for this date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,357End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather project an overnight low of 20–21°C in Istanbul on August 23, 2026, under clear skies, moderate northeasterly winds, and typical late-summer humidity levels. This aligns with August climatology, where average daily lows range 18–21°C and rarely drop below 17°C absent unusual cold advection. Recent observational data show no significant model divergence or approaching fronts that would push temperatures lower, supporting the dominant 21°C outcome at 64% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric conditions and resolution criteria around the daily minimum reading, with minimal odds on outliers reflecting low historical volatility for this date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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