Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts indicate an overnight low near 68–70°F for Los Angeles on August 24 amid a regional heat wave, driving the market's leading 68–69°F outcome at 29.5% implied probability. Coastal marine layer effects and light winds typically moderate minimum temperatures in the basin even as inland highs reach the low 90s, while model consensus on timing of the daily minimum and any subtle wind shifts create the observed spread across 64–73°F bins. Historical August climatology shows average lows around 66°F with rare dips below 61°F, underscoring why traders assign low odds to extremes. Updated model runs and evening observations ahead of resolution will likely refine positioning in this short-term temperature market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24?
68-69°F 49%
72-73°F 19%
70-71°F 16%
66-67°F 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
61°F or below
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
13%
68-69°F
30%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
2%
80°F or higher
3%
68-69°F 49%
72-73°F 19%
70-71°F 16%
66-67°F 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
61°F or below
$80 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$74 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$54 Vol.
9%
66-67°F
$123 Vol.
13%
68-69°F
$55 Vol.
30%
70-71°F
$10 Vol.
16%
72-73°F
$5 Vol.
19%
74-75°F
$25 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$150 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$5 Vol.
2%
80°F or higher
$135 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts indicate an overnight low near 68–70°F for Los Angeles on August 24 amid a regional heat wave, driving the market's leading 68–69°F outcome at 29.5% implied probability. Coastal marine layer effects and light winds typically moderate minimum temperatures in the basin even as inland highs reach the low 90s, while model consensus on timing of the daily minimum and any subtle wind shifts create the observed spread across 64–73°F bins. Historical August climatology shows average lows around 66°F with rare dips below 61°F, underscoring why traders assign low odds to extremes. Updated model runs and evening observations ahead of resolution will likely refine positioning in this short-term temperature market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$717End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts indicate an overnight low near 68–70°F for Los Angeles on August 24 amid a regional heat wave, driving the market's leading 68–69°F outcome at 29.5% implied probability. Coastal marine layer effects and light winds typically moderate minimum temperatures in the basin even as inland highs reach the low 90s, while model consensus on timing of the daily minimum and any subtle wind shifts create the observed spread across 64–73°F bins. Historical August climatology shows average lows around 66°F with rare dips below 61°F, underscoring why traders assign low odds to extremes. Updated model runs and evening observations ahead of resolution will likely refine positioning in this short-term temperature market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$717End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts indicate an overnight low near 68–70°F for Los Angeles on August 24 amid a regional heat wave, driving the market's leading 68–69°F outcome at 29.5% implied probability. Coastal marine layer effects and light winds typically moderate minimum temperatures in the basin even as inland highs reach the low 90s, while model consensus on timing of the daily minimum and any subtle wind shifts create the observed spread across 64–73°F bins. Historical August climatology shows average lows around 66°F with rare dips below 61°F, underscoring why traders assign low odds to extremes. Updated model runs and evening observations ahead of resolution will likely refine positioning in this short-term temperature market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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