Traders have converged on 35°C as the implied high for Ankara on August 23 due to consistent outputs from multiple numerical weather prediction models and official agency guidance showing stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light winds supporting a daytime maximum near that threshold. Recent observational data and short-range forecasts align on surface temperatures peaking around 35°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Anatolian plateau where diurnal ranges often reach 15°C under anticyclonic flow. This market-implied odds reflect aggregated confidence in the forecast consensus rather than a guarantee, as resolution depends on official station measurements. Minor deviations could arise from localized urban heat island effects, slight shifts in cloud cover, or post-processing adjustments by meteorological services, though current model agreement leaves little room for outcomes outside a narrow band around 35°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 23?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 23?
35°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$23,954 Vol.
$23,954 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$23,954 Vol.
$23,954 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
30°C or below
$157 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$524 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$958 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,028 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$5,894 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$6,998 Vol.
100%
36°C
$3,932 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$2,484 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$278 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$175 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$525 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 35°C as the implied high for Ankara on August 23 due to consistent outputs from multiple numerical weather prediction models and official agency guidance showing stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light winds supporting a daytime maximum near that threshold. Recent observational data and short-range forecasts align on surface temperatures peaking around 35°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Anatolian plateau where diurnal ranges often reach 15°C under anticyclonic flow. This market-implied odds reflect aggregated confidence in the forecast consensus rather than a guarantee, as resolution depends on official station measurements. Minor deviations could arise from localized urban heat island effects, slight shifts in cloud cover, or post-processing adjustments by meteorological services, though current model agreement leaves little room for outcomes outside a narrow band around 35°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$23,954End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 35°C as the implied high for Ankara on August 23 due to consistent outputs from multiple numerical weather prediction models and official agency guidance showing stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light winds supporting a daytime maximum near that threshold. Recent observational data and short-range forecasts align on surface temperatures peaking around 35°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Anatolian plateau where diurnal ranges often reach 15°C under anticyclonic flow. This market-implied odds reflect aggregated confidence in the forecast consensus rather than a guarantee, as resolution depends on official station measurements. Minor deviations could arise from localized urban heat island effects, slight shifts in cloud cover, or post-processing adjustments by meteorological services, though current model agreement leaves little room for outcomes outside a narrow band around 35°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,954End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged on 35°C as the implied high for Ankara on August 23 due to consistent outputs from multiple numerical weather prediction models and official agency guidance showing stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light winds supporting a daytime maximum near that threshold. Recent observational data and short-range forecasts align on surface temperatures peaking around 35°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Anatolian plateau where diurnal ranges often reach 15°C under anticyclonic flow. This market-implied odds reflect aggregated confidence in the forecast consensus rather than a guarantee, as resolution depends on official station measurements. Minor deviations could arise from localized urban heat island effects, slight shifts in cloud cover, or post-processing adjustments by meteorological services, though current model agreement leaves little room for outcomes outside a narrow band around 35°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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