Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles projects a maximum temperature of 31–33°C in Ankara on August 25 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds typical of late-summer patterns. Ankara’s 850–900 m elevation and dry continental climate support efficient daytime heating without significant moisture or cloud cover to moderate peaks, aligning with the market’s strong 52% implied probability on 31°C and secondary support for 30–32°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official observations from Esenboğa Airport will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution, though historical variability in August maxima remains limited under these conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 25?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 25?
31°C 52%
32°C 23%
30°C 21%
33°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
21%
31°C
52%
32°C
23%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 52%
32°C 23%
30°C 21%
33°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
$50 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$128 Vol.
1%
28°C
$128 Vol.
1%
29°C
$112 Vol.
4%
30°C
$201 Vol.
21%
31°C
$476 Vol.
52%
32°C
$185 Vol.
23%
33°C
$132 Vol.
5%
34°C
$58 Vol.
1%
35°C
$92 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$288 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles projects a maximum temperature of 31–33°C in Ankara on August 25 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds typical of late-summer patterns. Ankara’s 850–900 m elevation and dry continental climate support efficient daytime heating without significant moisture or cloud cover to moderate peaks, aligning with the market’s strong 52% implied probability on 31°C and secondary support for 30–32°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official observations from Esenboğa Airport will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution, though historical variability in August maxima remains limited under these conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,850End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles projects a maximum temperature of 31–33°C in Ankara on August 25 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds typical of late-summer patterns. Ankara’s 850–900 m elevation and dry continental climate support efficient daytime heating without significant moisture or cloud cover to moderate peaks, aligning with the market’s strong 52% implied probability on 31°C and secondary support for 30–32°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official observations from Esenboğa Airport will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution, though historical variability in August maxima remains limited under these conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,850End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles projects a maximum temperature of 31–33°C in Ankara on August 25 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds typical of late-summer patterns. Ankara’s 850–900 m elevation and dry continental climate support efficient daytime heating without significant moisture or cloud cover to moderate peaks, aligning with the market’s strong 52% implied probability on 31°C and secondary support for 30–32°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official observations from Esenboğa Airport will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution, though historical variability in August maxima remains limited under these conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions