Forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a stable high-pressure regime over central Turkey, supporting a daytime maximum near 32–33°C in Ankara on August 24 with sunny skies and light northeasterly winds. This aligns with late-August climatology, where the long-term average high is approximately 32°C and extremes above 35°C remain rare without anomalous warmth. Recent observations show similar conditions persisting through the past week, with no incoming cold fronts or enhanced subsidence that would shift temperatures outside this narrow range. Updated model runs through the evening of August 23 continue to cluster tightly around these values ahead of the daily peak measurement window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 24?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 24?
32°C 66%
33°C 21%
31°C 12%
34°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
12%
32°C
66%
33°C
21%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 66%
33°C 21%
31°C 12%
34°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
28°C or below
$408 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$238 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$478 Vol.
2%
31°C
$1,257 Vol.
12%
32°C
$1,686 Vol.
66%
33°C
$1,252 Vol.
21%
34°C
$455 Vol.
2%
35°C
$211 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$315 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$470 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a stable high-pressure regime over central Turkey, supporting a daytime maximum near 32–33°C in Ankara on August 24 with sunny skies and light northeasterly winds. This aligns with late-August climatology, where the long-term average high is approximately 32°C and extremes above 35°C remain rare without anomalous warmth. Recent observations show similar conditions persisting through the past week, with no incoming cold fronts or enhanced subsidence that would shift temperatures outside this narrow range. Updated model runs through the evening of August 23 continue to cluster tightly around these values ahead of the daily peak measurement window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,919End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a stable high-pressure regime over central Turkey, supporting a daytime maximum near 32–33°C in Ankara on August 24 with sunny skies and light northeasterly winds. This aligns with late-August climatology, where the long-term average high is approximately 32°C and extremes above 35°C remain rare without anomalous warmth. Recent observations show similar conditions persisting through the past week, with no incoming cold fronts or enhanced subsidence that would shift temperatures outside this narrow range. Updated model runs through the evening of August 23 continue to cluster tightly around these values ahead of the daily peak measurement window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,919End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a stable high-pressure regime over central Turkey, supporting a daytime maximum near 32–33°C in Ankara on August 24 with sunny skies and light northeasterly winds. This aligns with late-August climatology, where the long-term average high is approximately 32°C and extremes above 35°C remain rare without anomalous warmth. Recent observations show similar conditions persisting through the past week, with no incoming cold fronts or enhanced subsidence that would shift temperatures outside this narrow range. Updated model runs through the evening of August 23 continue to cluster tightly around these values ahead of the daily peak measurement window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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