**Forecast models indicate a mild winter night ahead for Buenos Aires on August 24, 2026, with overnight lows likely between 4–8°C driven by variable cloud cover and weak synoptic forcing rather than a strong cold surge.** Recent observations show August minima averaging near 8–10°C, with the past week featuring highs of 12–14°C and limited radiative cooling under mostly cloudy conditions. Key differentiators among the closely matched market outcomes (4°C at 37%, 8°C+ at 34%, 2°C at 30%) include the timing and extent of any Pampero wind influence or Atlantic moisture, which can either enhance nocturnal cooling through clear skies or moderate temperatures via cloud insulation and advection. Historical analogs and ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty in exact minimum thresholds, as small shifts in dew points or wind speeds near dawn can swing readings by 2–3°C. Traders appear to weigh these microphysical and boundary-layer factors heavily given the tight probability distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 24?
8°C or higher 68%
4°C 37%
2°C 30%
3°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
-2°C or below
14%
-1°C
15%
0°C
23%
1°C
23%
2°C
30%
3°C
26%
4°C
37%
5°C
23%
6°C
2%
7°C
1%
8°C or higher
68%
8°C or higher 68%
4°C 37%
2°C 30%
3°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
-2°C or below
$880 Vol.
14%
-1°C
$12 Vol.
15%
0°C
$0 Vol.
23%
1°C
$0 Vol.
23%
2°C
$0 Vol.
30%
3°C
$0 Vol.
26%
4°C
$0 Vol.
37%
5°C
$7 Vol.
23%
6°C
$85 Vol.
2%
7°C
$35 Vol.
1%
8°C or higher
$85 Vol.
68%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a mild winter night ahead for Buenos Aires on August 24, 2026, with overnight lows likely between 4–8°C driven by variable cloud cover and weak synoptic forcing rather than a strong cold surge.**
Recent observations show August minima averaging near 8–10°C, with the past week featuring highs of 12–14°C and limited radiative cooling under mostly cloudy conditions. Key differentiators among the closely matched market outcomes (4°C at 37%, 8°C+ at 34%, 2°C at 30%) include the timing and extent of any Pampero wind influence or Atlantic moisture, which can either enhance nocturnal cooling through clear skies or moderate temperatures via cloud insulation and advection. Historical analogs and ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty in exact minimum thresholds, as small shifts in dew points or wind speeds near dawn can swing readings by 2–3°C. Traders appear to weigh these microphysical and boundary-layer factors heavily given the tight probability distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$1,104End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a mild winter night ahead for Buenos Aires on August 24, 2026, with overnight lows likely between 4–8°C driven by variable cloud cover and weak synoptic forcing rather than a strong cold surge.**
Recent observations show August minima averaging near 8–10°C, with the past week featuring highs of 12–14°C and limited radiative cooling under mostly cloudy conditions. Key differentiators among the closely matched market outcomes (4°C at 37%, 8°C+ at 34%, 2°C at 30%) include the timing and extent of any Pampero wind influence or Atlantic moisture, which can either enhance nocturnal cooling through clear skies or moderate temperatures via cloud insulation and advection. Historical analogs and ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty in exact minimum thresholds, as small shifts in dew points or wind speeds near dawn can swing readings by 2–3°C. Traders appear to weigh these microphysical and boundary-layer factors heavily given the tight probability distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,104End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate a mild winter night ahead for Buenos Aires on August 24, 2026, with overnight lows likely between 4–8°C driven by variable cloud cover and weak synoptic forcing rather than a strong cold surge.** Recent observations show August minima averaging near 8–10°C, with the past week featuring highs of 12–14°C and limited radiative cooling under mostly cloudy conditions. Key differentiators among the closely matched market outcomes (4°C at 37%, 8°C+ at 34%, 2°C at 30%) include the timing and extent of any Pampero wind influence or Atlantic moisture, which can either enhance nocturnal cooling through clear skies or moderate temperatures via cloud insulation and advection. Historical analogs and ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty in exact minimum thresholds, as small shifts in dew points or wind speeds near dawn can swing readings by 2–3°C. Traders appear to weigh these microphysical and boundary-layer factors heavily given the tight probability distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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