Numerical weather prediction models indicate a tight clustering of possible overnight lows for Taipei on August 24, producing closely matched market-implied odds around 24–26°C. Key differentiating factors include variations in cloud cover and humidity that modulate longwave radiative cooling, steering flow from the subtropical ridge versus any weak monsoon trough influence, and the urban heat island effect that can elevate minimums by 1–2°C relative to rural stations. Recent model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds overnight, sustaining trader uncertainty until higher-resolution updates from agencies like Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration narrow the consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Taipei on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Taipei on August 24?
22°C 55%
24°C 45%
25°C 44%
26°C 44%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
55%
23°C
4%
24°C
45%
25°C
44%
26°C
44%
27°C
44%
28°C
43%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
22°C 55%
24°C 45%
25°C 44%
26°C 44%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$5,606 Vol.
1%
22°C
$137 Vol.
55%
23°C
$59 Vol.
4%
24°C
$0 Vol.
45%
25°C
$0 Vol.
44%
26°C
$0 Vol.
44%
27°C
$0 Vol.
44%
28°C
$75 Vol.
43%
29°C
$165 Vol.
5%
30°C
$240 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$2,780 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather prediction models indicate a tight clustering of possible overnight lows for Taipei on August 24, producing closely matched market-implied odds around 24–26°C. Key differentiating factors include variations in cloud cover and humidity that modulate longwave radiative cooling, steering flow from the subtropical ridge versus any weak monsoon trough influence, and the urban heat island effect that can elevate minimums by 1–2°C relative to rural stations. Recent model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds overnight, sustaining trader uncertainty until higher-resolution updates from agencies like Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration narrow the consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$9,063End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather prediction models indicate a tight clustering of possible overnight lows for Taipei on August 24, producing closely matched market-implied odds around 24–26°C. Key differentiating factors include variations in cloud cover and humidity that modulate longwave radiative cooling, steering flow from the subtropical ridge versus any weak monsoon trough influence, and the urban heat island effect that can elevate minimums by 1–2°C relative to rural stations. Recent model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds overnight, sustaining trader uncertainty until higher-resolution updates from agencies like Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration narrow the consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,063End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Numerical weather prediction models indicate a tight clustering of possible overnight lows for Taipei on August 24, producing closely matched market-implied odds around 24–26°C. Key differentiating factors include variations in cloud cover and humidity that modulate longwave radiative cooling, steering flow from the subtropical ridge versus any weak monsoon trough influence, and the urban heat island effect that can elevate minimums by 1–2°C relative to rural stations. Recent model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds overnight, sustaining trader uncertainty until higher-resolution updates from agencies like Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration narrow the consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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