Persistent high humidity and widespread thunderstorm activity are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited across Zhengzhou, with latest model guidance pointing to minimum temperatures near 25–27°C on August 24. Elevated dew points near 27°C, combined with cloud cover and light northeasterly flow under the subtropical high, suppress typical nighttime drops and align with the market’s leading 25°C-or-higher outcome at 49.5% implied probability. Recent days have shown similar warm, moist conditions with lows rarely falling below 25°C, consistent with climatological August baselines. Updated high-resolution runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 12–24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24?
20°C 51%
21°C 51%
22°C 51%
25°C or higher 50%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
13%
16°C
7%
17°C
6%
18°C
15%
19°C
<1%
20°C
51%
21°C
51%
22°C
51%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C or higher
50%
20°C 51%
21°C 51%
22°C 51%
25°C or higher 50%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
$25 Vol.
13%
16°C
$25 Vol.
7%
17°C
$155 Vol.
6%
18°C
$25 Vol.
15%
19°C
$43 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$25 Vol.
51%
21°C
$25 Vol.
51%
22°C
$25 Vol.
51%
23°C
$30 Vol.
26%
24°C
$6 Vol.
27%
25°C or higher
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high humidity and widespread thunderstorm activity are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited across Zhengzhou, with latest model guidance pointing to minimum temperatures near 25–27°C on August 24. Elevated dew points near 27°C, combined with cloud cover and light northeasterly flow under the subtropical high, suppress typical nighttime drops and align with the market’s leading 25°C-or-higher outcome at 49.5% implied probability. Recent days have shown similar warm, moist conditions with lows rarely falling below 25°C, consistent with climatological August baselines. Updated high-resolution runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 12–24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$380End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high humidity and widespread thunderstorm activity are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited across Zhengzhou, with latest model guidance pointing to minimum temperatures near 25–27°C on August 24. Elevated dew points near 27°C, combined with cloud cover and light northeasterly flow under the subtropical high, suppress typical nighttime drops and align with the market’s leading 25°C-or-higher outcome at 49.5% implied probability. Recent days have shown similar warm, moist conditions with lows rarely falling below 25°C, consistent with climatological August baselines. Updated high-resolution runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 12–24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$380End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high humidity and widespread thunderstorm activity are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited across Zhengzhou, with latest model guidance pointing to minimum temperatures near 25–27°C on August 24. Elevated dew points near 27°C, combined with cloud cover and light northeasterly flow under the subtropical high, suppress typical nighttime drops and align with the market’s leading 25°C-or-higher outcome at 49.5% implied probability. Recent days have shown similar warm, moist conditions with lows rarely falling below 25°C, consistent with climatological August baselines. Updated high-resolution runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 12–24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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