**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C overnight low in Guangzhou today, reflecting consistent forecasts from regional and international models projecting minima of 26–28°C.** Persistent monsoon flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered moderate rainfall limit radiational cooling, keeping surface temperatures elevated through the night in this subtropical setting. Official guidance, including updates from Chinese meteorological services and global ensembles, centers the low near 27°C, aligning closely with the market’s dominant outcome at 90.5% implied probability. Recent conditions—high humidity near 80–90% and light variable winds—further suppress temperature drops, consistent with typical August baselines for the Pearl River Delta. The next outcomes (25°C or 26°C at 9.5% each) capture residual model spread, but extreme deviations remain negligible given the stable pattern. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing and stronger radiational cooling or an unforecasted shift in steering currents, though current observational trends and short-range guidance make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 23?
27°C 99.5%
25°C 19%
26°C 1.0%
22°C or below <1%
$4,012 Vol.
$4,012 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 99.5%
25°C 19%
26°C 1.0%
22°C or below <1%
$4,012 Vol.
$4,012 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
22°C or below
$1,434 Vol.
No
23°C
$345 Vol.
No
24°C
$324 Vol.
No
25°C
$238 Vol.
No
26°C
$160 Vol.
No
27°C
$548 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$166 Vol.
No
29°C
$218 Vol.
No
30°C
$224 Vol.
No
31°C
$150 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$206 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C overnight low in Guangzhou today, reflecting consistent forecasts from regional and international models projecting minima of 26–28°C.** Persistent monsoon flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered moderate rainfall limit radiational cooling, keeping surface temperatures elevated through the night in this subtropical setting. Official guidance, including updates from Chinese meteorological services and global ensembles, centers the low near 27°C, aligning closely with the market’s dominant outcome at 90.5% implied probability.
Recent conditions—high humidity near 80–90% and light variable winds—further suppress temperature drops, consistent with typical August baselines for the Pearl River Delta. The next outcomes (25°C or 26°C at 9.5% each) capture residual model spread, but extreme deviations remain negligible given the stable pattern. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing and stronger radiational cooling or an unforecasted shift in steering currents, though current observational trends and short-range guidance make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$4,012End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C overnight low in Guangzhou today, reflecting consistent forecasts from regional and international models projecting minima of 26–28°C.** Persistent monsoon flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered moderate rainfall limit radiational cooling, keeping surface temperatures elevated through the night in this subtropical setting. Official guidance, including updates from Chinese meteorological services and global ensembles, centers the low near 27°C, aligning closely with the market’s dominant outcome at 90.5% implied probability.
Recent conditions—high humidity near 80–90% and light variable winds—further suppress temperature drops, consistent with typical August baselines for the Pearl River Delta. The next outcomes (25°C or 26°C at 9.5% each) capture residual model spread, but extreme deviations remain negligible given the stable pattern. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing and stronger radiational cooling or an unforecasted shift in steering currents, though current observational trends and short-range guidance make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,012End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C overnight low in Guangzhou today, reflecting consistent forecasts from regional and international models projecting minima of 26–28°C.** Persistent monsoon flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered moderate rainfall limit radiational cooling, keeping surface temperatures elevated through the night in this subtropical setting. Official guidance, including updates from Chinese meteorological services and global ensembles, centers the low near 27°C, aligning closely with the market’s dominant outcome at 90.5% implied probability. Recent conditions—high humidity near 80–90% and light variable winds—further suppress temperature drops, consistent with typical August baselines for the Pearl River Delta. The next outcomes (25°C or 26°C at 9.5% each) capture residual model spread, but extreme deviations remain negligible given the stable pattern. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing and stronger radiational cooling or an unforecasted shift in steering currents, though current observational trends and short-range guidance make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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